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The Economic Costs of Temperature Uncertainty

카테고리
국외자료
개인저자
Luca Bettarelli, Davide Furceri, Michael Ganslmeier, Marc Schiffbauer
단체저자
IMF
발행기관
IMF
발행년월
2025.01
페이지수
59p
URL
요약
Beyond its environmental damage, climate change is predicted to produce significant economic costs. Combining novel high-frequency geospatial temperature data from satellites with measures of economic activity for the universe of US listed firms, this article examines a potentially important channel through which global warming can lead to economic costs: temperature uncertainty. The results show that temperature uncertainty—by increasing power outages, reducing labor productivity, and increasing the degree of exposure of firms to environmental and non-political risks, as well as economic uncertainty at the firm-level—persistently reduce firms’ investment and sales. This effect varies across firms, with those characterized by tighter financial constraints being disproportionally more affected.