보고서(전자자료)
Trade Effects of Carbon Pricing Policies
- 카테고리
- 국외자료
- 개인저자
- Antonia Kurz, Stela Rub
- 단체저자
- WTO
- 발행기관
- WTO
- 발행년월
- 2024.12
- 페이지수
- 49p
- URL
요약
In the first step, we use a fixed-effects gravity model of trade to estimate the export capabilities that determine the pattern of comparative advantage. In the second step, we regress the change in export capability of a country in an industry on the change in the country’s carbon pricing policy, interacted with the carbon intensity of the industry, controlling for country and industry fixed effects. Our results suggest that a 10% increase in carbon price is associated with a decline in export capability in the most carbon-intensive industry by 0.3% to 0.7%. On the other hand, industries with low carbon intensity are barely affected. Overall, we estimate that changes in all the policy instruments combined can explain up to 1.2% of the changes in export capabilities in the periods 2012-2015 and 2015-2018.